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The 2-year olds Go To War - Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes

28 Sep, 2024

Aidan O'Brien has dominated the betting market in many of the Group 1s this season and it's a familiar story again today in the Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes (3:00). O'Brien is double-handed with Whistlejacket (8/13) and Ides Of March (4/1), with Ryan Moore siding with the former, top-rated on 115. Ides Of March and Shadow Of Light (6/1) are joint next-best having both achieved a rating of 108. At THM we remain strong advocates for making rational betting decisions, well-informed by the statistical insights readily available on our racecards. Punters will invariably prioritise certain form study insights differently – perhaps...

Introducing THM's Class Move Indicator

13 Sep, 2024

THM is always on the improve! We've now launched our newest feature in the form of the Class Move Indicator.It now takes nothing more than a swift glance to identify whether each horse is moving up (^), down (⌄) or racing in the same (-) class compared to its previous race. This means there's zero manual work required from you. Check out this new addition to the Class tab on all The Horse’s Mouth racecards..Moving UpProgressive horses climbing through the handicap ranks will be forced to move up in class following Official Rating increases imposed by the handicapper. This will...

Horse Racing Form Strength - Part 2

6 Sep, 2024

We're back with our next chapter of horse racing form study. Last time we covered the basics; this is a slight rise in class. It's not unusual for a number of well handicapped or talented horses to run in the same race. When this happens, multiple next time out winners will emerge from this specific piece of form.During the flat season, there are always a number of "hot" maiden or novice races that produce strong form lines to follow. For example, let's take a look at the below Novice Stakes race at Newmarket in June this year:.Now if we delve...

Ryan Moore On Top At The Ebor

22 Aug, 2024

Ryan Moore and Aidan O'Brien teamed up with three rides on Day 1 of the York Ebor Festival and came away with a hat-trick of wins. The first leg of the 14/1 "Ryan Moore treble" was his easiest winner of the day. The Lion In Winter bounced out of the gates and comfortably made all from the front to land the Acomb Stakes. Moore never had to get serious in the saddle and his mount is now favourite for next year's Derby. A lot can happen between now and then but he's done nothing wrong so far.Los Angeles was up...

Horse Racing Form Strength - The Basics

21 Aug, 2024

THM has a question for you. If two horses racing against each other both finished third in their previous race, how can we determine which horse has the stronger piece of form to their name? It remains a challenge for punters to find a perfect solution, but there are certain elements to always consider when trying to differentiate between strong and weak pieces of form. Here's a THM starter pack to get you going..Runners & Beaten Distances Form figures on racecards could indicate that two horses both finished in third position in their previous race, but this information on its...

Why does the Ground, Course & Distance actually matter when studying form in horse racing?

9 Aug, 2024

Ground conditions should always be a factor in a punters decision making. There are a number of reasons why certain horses perform better on certain ground types. Smaller framed horses with low skimming running actions are typically more at home on firmer ground surfaces, whereas bigger horses, with high knee and stomping actions can find running on firm ground painful; but come into their own when the ground is heavy and the mud is flying. Finding a horse that's about to run in ideal underfoot conditions is always advised.The expression 'Horses for Courses' is commonly used amongst punters and it...

Glistening Glorious Goodwood

1 Aug, 2024

Glorious Goodwood is more than living up to its name this week; the sumptuous weather coupled with high quality horse racing has been lighting up the Sussex racecourse. There's been a cauldron of action to enjoy throughout the opening few days of the festival: some top class performances, electrifying speed figures, a dramatic stewards' inquiry and other hard luck stories for which notorious Goodwood is oh so famous. There's plenty more to come before Saturday evening too. Kyprios stole the show on Tuesday in the Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup, blitzing his rivals in the scorching heat and establishing himself head...

King George Saturday Roundup

28 Jul, 2024

Aidan O'Brien has been uncharacteristically critical about the ground conditions at Ascot this weekend, questioning whether any stretch of the course was indeed good to firm. He then attributed Auguste Rodin's lacklustre performance in the King George to the softer conditions. Given the Ballydoyle pacemakers set off at a ferocious gallop, it seemed a strange tactical decision to keep Auguste Rodin so close to the pace, especially if the ground conditions were in fact softer than described? Anyway...The keyboard warriors on X have fired plenty of criticism at Kieran Shoemark in recent weeks, shaming him for some unsatisfactory rides. But...

Buick - The King of Newmarket

13 Jul, 2024

Jockey William Buick is no stranger to the Winners' Enclosure, but even by his lofty standards he had a day to remember this Saturday at the Newmarket July Cup meeting. Anyone checking the horse racing results this evening will see the familiar sight of Buick and trainer Charlie Appleby combining in sumptuous fashion to win 3 of the first 4 races on the card.The first, Desert Flower, put up an impressive display on debut despite looking inexperienced through the early stages. Buick never had to get serious on the well backed 5/2 shot and the pair won as they liked....

The 2024 Coral-Eclipse

6 Jul, 2024

The Coral-Eclipse (3:35) at Sandown usually provides an opportunity to witness the best of the 3-year old generation taking on the older horses. Sadly this year the representation from the older group is pretty woeful and consequently the betting market is dominated by the youngsters, most notably by the impressive Derby winner. We all know who that is!Today's short priced favourite City Of Troy (3/10) looked spectacular when careering away with the Epsom Derby 5 weeks ago and was given the highest accolades from trainer Aidan O'Brien in the post race interviews. He's 10lbs clear of all his opponents today...

What is a Handicap?

20 Jun, 2024

The horse racing handicap system can be a real head scratcher; here's a quick explanation of how it works, so you can take full advantage of the stats and visuals which THM offers you on our unique Handicap tab..What's a Handicap?Let's start with the basics. In handicap races, the weight carried by a horse is based on its Official Rating; this is to try and give each horse an equal chance of winning. The weight a horse carries is a combination of the jockey's weight and the weight of the saddle. Let's consider two horses in a race - one...

Royal Ascot 2024

18 Jun, 2024

Royal Ascot week - does life get any better than this? The pinnacle of our sport displayed as a five day onslaught of ultra competitive races brimming with equine talent. This isn't the time to be messing around; Royal Ascot is serious business and you're going to need all of the insights available to find some winners. A brief overview of a few of the races tomorrow should be enough to whet the appetite. Here we go....The Queen Anne Stakes (14:30) looks wide open and there's a French invasion for the British contingent to deal with. The race is set...

THM Average Speed Analysis

8 Jun, 2024

At THM, our aim is to provide the best horse racing racecards and ensure that you are using all our exclusive features efficiently and maximising the information to best inform your betting decision. In this blog, we want to cover the Average Speed Analysis (ASA) tab, which we know can act as a powerful tool for horse form study and can add real value alongside the regular form study metrics, such as ground, course, and distance. You'll find it on the furthest tab to the right on our racecards. Here's a little helping hand....Why should you use our ASA tool?The...

The 2024 Epsom Oaks

31 May, 2024

If you'd told us at the start of the flat season that we'd be swaggering into this Epsom meeting with Aidan O'Brien having not won a 2024 Classic, we'd have laughed in your face. But the Irish juggernaut has been firing blanks on both sides of the Irish Sea in the Classics so far this year and will be hoping for a swift change of fortune. Yet he may well get it, as unsurprisingly he has the market leaders in both the Oaks and Derby. Today is Oaks Friday though and a day for the girls to take centre stage....

The Dante Festival 2024

15 May, 2024

The York Dante Festival is underway and after a cracking first day there's still much to look forward to over the next few days on the Knavesmire. Thursday's card is stacked with both big field handicaps and informative Group races. Perhaps the feature race of the meeting, the Dante, will provide us with the next Derby winner as it did with Golden Horn and Desert Crown in 2015 and 2022 respectively. At THM we also love a juicy handicap. So let's get stuck in!Day 2 kicks off with the Lindum York Handicap (14:15), a 5-furlong sprint, so best fasten your...